Week 8 picks

After going 4-1 in the initial head-to-head picks with Rob Marine, I’m ready to keep this thing rolling.

This week’s big games aren’t hard to find. I like two road teams and two home teams. Since I won last week, I’m leading off.

Mike’s picks (4-1 overall):

Green Bay @ New York Jets

Pick: JETS

  • Green Bay is 1-2 on the road, and are very banged up. The Jets are coming off of a bye, and the one player who was partially injured (Darrelle Revis), is now at full strength. Donald Driver didn’t catch a single pass for the Packers in week 7, and he is Aaron Rodgers’ favorite target this season (28 receptions–leads team).
  • The Jets should control the clock and pressure Aaron Rodgers into a couple of turnovers, which should amount to about 10 extra points.

Minnesota @ New England

Pick: PATRIOTS

  • The Patriots are 3-0 at home, and the Vikings are 0-3 on the road. Randy Moss can be a difference-maker for the Vikings, but Favre is too hurt and is favoring WR Percy Harvin. In my opinion, the difference between Favre and Tavares Jackson right now is negligible.
  • Although the Patriots are coming off a cross-country road trip in which they almost lost the game, they are an elite team in terms of correcting their mistakes (quickly).

Pittsburgh @ New Orleans

Pick: STEELERS

  • Pittsburgh is playing in their second straight road game this week, but are 3-0 on the road so far this season. Although they’ve lost Aaron Smith (maybe) for the season, their defense should still be able to put significant pressure on Drew Brees.
  • For the Saints, it’s as simple as one word: balance. They don’t have that right now. Even if Reggie Bush plays (which he probably won’t), opposing defenses are focusing on Brees and the passing game, because the Saints’ running game isn’t a threat right now, period.

Houston @ Indianapolis

Pick: TEXANS

  • The Monday night game should be a terrific match-up. Houston beat Indy, 34-24, in Houston in week 1. Arian Foster dominated the Colts defense, rushing for 231 yards and three touchdowns. Will he get those numbers again this week? Probably not. Will he get close to those numbers this week? Probably.
  • If the Colts focus too much on Foster, the Texans might have to end up going to a guy named Andre Johnson to make plays.
  • Although the Colts still have Peyton Manning, Reggie Wayne, Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis, they are very banged up. Dallas Clark is out for the season. Clark played in week 1 and caught 11 passes for 80 yards and a touchdown. If the Colts got that effort from Clark and lost by ten points, what makes you think they will do any better without Clark (and probably without starting RB Joseph Addai)?
  • I predict this is the week the Colts lose at home for the first time in their last 18 games (not counting week 16 of last season when they rested their starters vs. the Jets).

Upset pick of the week: Tennessee @ San Diego (-3.5)

Pick: TITANS

  • This one is simple. Tennessee (5-2) is a better football team than San Diego (2-5). The only thing going for San Diego is that they’re playing this game at home.
  • Tennessee is tied for first in the NFL (with, oddly enough, San Diego) with 25 sacks. They lead the league with 18 turnovers (12 interceptions, 6 recovered fumbles). San Diego’s turnover ratio (-7) is tied for 30th in the NFL.
  • Oh, by the way, the Titans have Chris Johnson.

Rob’s picks (1-4 overall):

Green Bay @ New York Jets

Pick: PACKERS

  • Green Bay plays smash-mouth football and I believe they are one of the strongest teams in the NFC. The Jets are somehow 5-1 with Sanchez running the show who, in my opinion, is overrated. It will be a good game, but no doubt the Packers will comes away with the “W”.

Minnesota @ New England

Pick: PATRIOTS

  • With Favre banged up (and still a question mark for the game), I don’t think the Vikings have the tools to beat the Patriots. Belichick always has a great game plan for each and every opponent they face, and this won’t be any different.
  • There’s also the added hype of Moss now facing his last team. It should be a very good game with plenty of action. New England wins, fairly easy.

Pittsburgh @ New Orleans

Pick: STEELERS

  • Now as a Baltimore Fan, I hate anything to do with the Steelers being successful, but the reigning Super Bowl champs are struggling this year, and their run game is at an all-time low. In other words, you can’t go out and just pass all over the Steelers “D”.
  • Pittsburgh has a great pass rush and a fairly strong secondary. With Big BenĀ  back, their offense is re-energized and back to being productive. I hate to say it but Pittsburgh is gonna take home the win in this one.

Houston @ Indianapolis

Pick: COLTS

  • I love re-matches. There’s nothing better. Can Houston prove they are the best team in the AFC South? This Monday night they get their second shot at the Colts. Although Houston got off to a hot start this year, they have seemed to fizzle out.
  • I think that Colts have too many weapons that are starting to play to their potential, which will boost them past the Texans on Monday night. It should be a great re-match but I think the Colts win this one.

Upset pick of the week: Miami @ Cincinnati (-2)

Pick: MIAMI

We’ll see how these picks turn out. Either way, this should be a very exciting week of football. Enjoy it!

Thanks for reading.

-Mike

Advertisements

Leave a comment

Filed under 2010 Week 8

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s